National risk assessment

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National risk assessment

NRAAlso called national money laundering risk assessment, country risk assessment

Definition

A national risk assessment is a government's review of the money laundering, terrorist financing and proliferation financing threats facing its country, and of the sectors and products most exposed. FATF standards require every country to carry one out. Firms must take its findings into account in their own risk assessments.

ENTITYCOUNTRYTHREATSSECTORSFIRMS
Fig. 1 · National risk assessment
FATF Recommendation 1 · AMLD6 Article 8 · UK National Risk Assessment 2025
Key rulesFATF Recommendation 1 · AMLD6 Article 8 · UK National Risk Assessment 2025 · 2026 National Money Laundering Risk Assessment
Applies toEU Member States
RegionsGlobal · UK · EU · US
01

How it works

Governments bring together finance ministries, law enforcement, financial intelligence units and supervisors to assess threats such as fraud, drugs, corruption and tax crime, and vulnerabilities in sectors including banking, money service businesses, property, legal services and cryptoassets. Each sector receives a risk rating. The results shape national policy, supervisory priorities and resources, and FATF examines them during mutual evaluations.

For regulated firms, the national risk assessment is a required input to the enterprise-wide risk assessment. Compliance teams map its high-risk sectors, products and typologies against their own customers and services, adjust customer risk rating and monitoring scenarios and record how they considered it. Supervisors expect firms to update their assessments when a new national risk assessment is published.

Step 1Gather dataAuthorities pool intelligence, SARs and case data.
Step 2Assess threatsRate the main crimes generating illicit funds.
Step 3Rate sectorsScore each sector and product for vulnerability.
Step 4PublishShare findings with firms and supervisors.
Step 5ApplyFirms update their own risk assessments and controls.
02

The rules

Global · February 2012FATF Recommendation 1FATF Recommendation 1, Assessing risks and applying a risk-based approach

Requires countries to identify, assess and understand their money laundering and terrorist financing risks and to apply measures in line with those risks.

All countries, through national law
EU · Transposition by 10 July 2027AMLD6 Article 8Article 8 of Directive (EU) 2024/1640 on mechanisms to prevent the use of the financial system for money laundering or terrorist financing

Requires each Member State to carry out a national risk assessment, review it at least every four years, publish a summary and share results with the Commission, AMLA and other Member States.

EU Member States
UK · 17 July 2025UK National Risk Assessment 2025National Risk Assessment of Money Laundering and Terrorist Financing 2025, HM Treasury and Home Office

The UK's fourth national risk assessment, following 2015, 2017 and 2020; firms must take it into account under the Money Laundering Regulations 2017.

UK regulated firms and supervisors
US · March 20262026 National Money Laundering Risk Assessment2026 National Money Laundering Risk Assessment, US Department of the Treasury

Treasury's fifth money laundering risk assessment, published with companion terrorist financing and proliferation financing assessments.

US financial institutions and authorities
03

Common questions

Do firms have to use the national risk assessment?

Yes, in most regimes. UK and EU rules require firms to take the national risk assessment into account in their own risk assessments, and supervisors check that they have.

How often is a national risk assessment updated?

It varies by country. EU rules require a review at least every four years. The UK has published in 2015, 2017, 2020 and 2025, and the US in 2015, 2018, 2022, 2024 and 2026.

What is the difference between an NRA and an EWRA?

A national risk assessment covers a whole country's risks. An enterprise-wide risk assessment covers one firm's risks, and uses the national findings as one of its inputs.